![]() ![]() From 1969 on, Phil's overall accuracy rate drops to about 36%. Phil does a shade poorer when you check his performance against actual weather outcomes since 1969, when the accuracy of weather records is less in question, said Tim Roche, a meteorologist at Weather Underground. Data from the Stormfax Almanac's data shows that Phil's six-week prognostications have been correct about 39% of the time. There are nine years without any records, and even the Punxsutawney Area Chamber of Commerce, which keeps track of these things, doesn't know what happened to Phil during those years. The National Centers for Environmental Information, using a basic metric of above-normal temperatures for early spring and below-normal. (Contrary to popular belief, Phil doesn't actually have to see his shadow he just has to cast one to make his wintery prophecy.)Īccording to the Groundhog Club's records, the various incarnations of Punxsutawney Phil have predicted 104 forecasts of more winter and 20 early springs. is not responsible for the accuracy, compliance, copyright, legality, decency, or any other aspect of the content of other linked sites. 2, members of the club's Inner Circle rouse Phil at sunrise (this morning, they awakened him at 7:25 a.m.) to see if he casts a shadow. The Punxsutawney Groundhog Club, of Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, takes care of Phil year-round, and on each Feb. Punxsutawney Phil was first tasked with predicting the upcoming spring weather in 1887, and the process hasn't changed much since. ![]()
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